Cambodia vs Hong Kong: The Corner Data You Can't Ignore

The numbers tell an interesting story here — and most of it happens before a single shot is taken.

Cambodia vs Hong Kong on June 9th looks, on the surface, like a low-stakes Friendlies fixture between two sides hovering around Asian football's second tier. But dig into the underlying data and you find two statistical threads that are almost too clean to believe. The corner market in this fixture has been remarkably consistent across recent meetings, and Cambodia's home shot volume is wildly disconnected from their actual scoring output. Both anomalies deserve a closer look. The full match statistics make for genuinely interesting reading.

---

The Corner Machine: 11+ in Four Straight H2H Meetings

Four consecutive head-to-head meetings. Four times the corner count has cleared 11. That is the single most striking data point in this fixture, and it doesn't appear to be a fluke.

Look at how the corners have accumulated across recent H2H history:

Four matches. Four different scorelines. Different venues, different contexts. The corners keep coming regardless.

The team-level data supports it from both ends. Cambodia have cleared 5+ corners in their last 8 consecutive home matches — that's an 8-game streak that has survived wins, draws, and heavy defeats. Hong Kong, meanwhile, have recorded 4+ corners in each of their last 5 away matches, with the total corner count clearing 7 in every single one of those five games.

Combine a host that consistently generates corners at home with a visitor that consistently generates corners away, and you get a structural explanation for why this particular fixture keeps producing high corner counts. It's not luck. It's two teams whose styles — Cambodia's higher possession and shot volume, Hong Kong's pressing and direct play — create the kinds of blocked crosses and recycled attacks that generate corners at volume.

The AI-detected trends on today's AI-powered analysis flag the Over 7.5 corners market with strong confidence based on Cambodia's 6-match home streak alone. The H2H data adds another layer on top.

---

Cambodia's Shot-to-xG Disconnect Is Alarming

Here is where Cambodia's data gets genuinely strange.

15.5 shots per game across their last five matches. That's not a typo. For context, Hong Kong are averaging just 9.3 shots per game over the same period — Cambodia are taking 67% more attempts.

And yet their xG is 0.8 per game. Essentially the same as Hong Kong's 0.7.

That gap — high shot volume, near-zero xG — is one of the most extreme shot quality mismatches you'll find in Asian football at this level. Cambodia are shooting constantly and generating almost nothing of value from it.

What the Shot Quality Numbers Actually Mean

To put it plainly: Cambodia's shots on target average is 6.6 per game, but their xG is 0.8. That implies roughly 0.12 xG per shot on target — extremely low. Shots from distance, low-percentage angles, rushed attempts under pressure. The volume is there. The quality is not.

Hong Kong's numbers are more coherent. 4.2 shots on target from 9.3 total shots — a 45% conversion to shots on target. Their xG of 0.7 from fewer attempts suggests their attempts are better calibrated. They're taking fewer shots, but making more of them count in terms of location and setup.

Cambodia's recent results reflect this. One win in their last four, including losses to Aruba, Vietnam, and Thailand. The 4-0 win over Bhutan skews the form, but strip that out and you have a team that creates the illusion of dominance through shot volume while struggling to turn possession and attempts into actual threat.

Check the Cambodia stats & profile for the full breakdown across recent fixtures.

---

Hong Kong's Form: Functional But Fragile

Hong Kong arrive here with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses from their last five — and the two losses came against India and Singapore, teams they would expect to compete with at minimum.

Their possession average of 54.3% puts them fractionally ahead of Cambodia's 51.3%, which is interesting given that Cambodia are the nominal home side. Both teams like to have the ball. Neither team is particularly dangerous when they do.

The fouls data is worth flagging. Hong Kong commit 13.0 fouls per game — Cambodia average 11.0. In a Friendlies fixture where yellow cards can be issued freely (Hong Kong average 1.4 per game, Cambodia just 0.8), that's a meaningful gap. Hong Kong's defensive aggression creates free kicks in dangerous areas, which feeds back into set-piece and corner opportunities.

The Offside Trap That Isn't Really Working

Hong Kong average 1.7 offsides per game — Cambodia register zero. That zero is not a data gap. It reflects how Cambodia play: patient, patient, patient, then shoot from wherever they are. They're not making runs in behind. They're not testing the line.

Hong Kong's 1.7 offsides per game suggests they're making those forward runs, which generates attacking momentum but also confirms they're working off a higher defensive line. That's relevant for Cambodia's wide players if they're starting quickly after winning possession.

View the Hong Kong stats & profile for how their away defensive numbers stack up in full.

---

Goals: A Market Quietly Backed by Seven Consecutive Home Games

Cambodia's last 7 consecutive home matches have produced 2 or more total goals. Seven. That streak has survived the Bhutan thrashing, tighter affairs, and everything in between.

This sits alongside the corners data as the second most durable trend in this fixture. And unlike some streaks that rest on one-sided thrashings inflating the count, the H2H history between these two sides confirms it's genuine two-way traffic:

Every single H2H meeting in the last five has cleared 1.5 goals. The lowest-scoring encounter still hit exactly 2. For a fixture involving two teams with an xG average below 1.0 per game each, that's a meaningful pattern.

Hong Kong's away matches have produced 3+ goals in 4 consecutive fixtures, adding another layer. Their attacking output away from home has been sharper than their home performances suggest — the win over Mongolia, the goals in defeat to India and Singapore, the draws against Cambodia and Bangladesh all show they're contributing to goalscoring games wherever they play.

Cambodia's own form is volatile, but they score. The 1-1 draw with Hong Kong in November, the 4-0 against Bhutan, even the 1-2 losses to Aruba and Vietnam — they found the net in four of their last five. The xG of 0.8 looks ugly but the actual goals scored tell a slightly better story, which hints at either fortunate finishing or set-piece goals not fully captured in open-play xG.

---

The Numbers That Matter Most

This Cambodia vs Hong Kong Friendlies fixture looks quiet from the outside. The data says otherwise.