CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia: 11 Wins, 0 Goals Conceded

The numbers tell an interesting story — and in this First League fixture, two of them are almost hard to believe. CSKA Sofia have won 11 consecutive home matches. In the last five of those, they haven't conceded a single goal. Levski Sofia, meanwhile, are arriving as the most possession-dominant side in recent form, averaging 72.4% of the ball across their last five games. Something has to give on 13 April 2026, and the data gives us a remarkably clear picture of where the fault lines are.

This isn't a balanced derby on paper. It's a fortress meeting a team that likes to own the ball — and those two things don't always mix the way you'd expect. Check the full match statistics as they update, because this one will be worth tracking in real time.

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CSKA's Home Record Is Statistically Absurd

13 home matches without defeat. Not a run built on narrow escapes and goalkeeping heroics — CSKA have won 11 of those 13. The draw is the outlier. Defeat is practically a historical event at this point.

The clean sheet streak sharpens the picture further. Five consecutive home games without conceding means CSKA have shut out every opponent at their ground since before the winter break. That's not variance. That's structure.

Look at the underlying numbers from CSKA Sofia's stats profile and you see a team that defends with discipline rather than luck:

The xG figure of 1.1 per game is modest, but their results suggest their defence is suppressing opponent xG even more aggressively. When you win 4 of your last 5 by at least two goals and the one loss came away to Ludogorets — the runaway league leaders — context matters.

The home record isn't a fluke. It's a pattern built on positional discipline, controlled possession and an apparent inability to be unsettled at their own ground.

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Levski Sofia's Possession Numbers Are Misleading (In The Best Way)

72.4% average possession across the last five games is a genuinely remarkable figure for Bulgarian First League football. Levski aren't just keeping the ball — they're hoarding it.

But here's where it gets interesting: their xG is only 1.2 per game. You'd expect a team touching the ball this much to be generating chance after chance. They're not. Their shots on target average 4.2 per game — just 0.6 more than CSKA despite having roughly 12% more of the ball.

This tells you something important about how Levski use possession. They're patient. Methodical. They don't panic without the ball because they rarely don't have it. Their last five results — four wins and a draw — show the system works at this level. But it works through control, not through volume of high-quality chances.

What Levski's Form Actually Shows

Their last five opponents include Arda, Dobrudzha, Cherno More, Beroe and Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Solid mid-table resistance, but none of them defend like CSKA do at home. The 2-2 draw with Dobrudzha is the one blemish — a side ranked well below them managed to score twice, which hints that Levski's defensive solidity has its own questions.

From the Levski Sofia stats profile, 10.4 fouls per game is the highest of the two sides here, and 1.8 yellow cards per game suggests they occasionally have to make the ugly choice when pressed. CSKA, with their home comfort and counter-pressing structure, may force exactly those moments.

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The Corner Data Reveals a Hidden Tactical Battle

This is one of the two most unusual statistical threads in this match — and it's one that most coverage will ignore entirely.

Levski Sofia have produced 5 or more corners in every one of their last 8 away matches. Eight consecutive away games. Not six, not seven — eight. That's a streak long enough to be a tactical signature, not coincidence.

In their last three away fixtures, the combined corner count hit 9 or more each time. That's their corners plus the opposition's. The match environment around Levski's away games is, statistically, a corner-heavy one.

Now set that against CSKA's home average of 5.6 corners per game. Even at the lower end, this fixture has the structural ingredients to push past 8 or 9 total corners.

Why Levski Generate So Many Away Corners

It's a product of the possession game. When you have 72.4% of the ball, you're constantly probing wide, testing the full-back channels, and putting balls into areas that get deflected behind. High-possession teams earn corners at a disproportionate rate because the geometry works in their favour — defenders under sustained pressure clear to corners more often than teams absorbing short bursts of pressure.

Combine Levski's away corner rate with this being a high-stakes derby where both teams will fight for every set piece, and the corner markets around this fixture deserve serious attention from a pure data standpoint. The AI-powered analysis on Statof flags the Over 4.5 corners market as high-confidence based on this exact streak — eight matches is a robust sample size.

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Head-to-Head: CSKA's Home Advantage Holds Even In Derbies

Derby football has a habit of scrambling form guides. But the last five meetings between these clubs suggest CSKA's home dominance extends specifically to this fixture.

The recent H2H record:

1. Nov 2025 — Levski 0-1 CSKA (away win for CSKA)

2. Mar 2025 — CSKA 2-2 Levski (home draw)

3. Oct 2024 — Levski 1-0 CSKA (Levski home win)

4. Apr 2024 — CSKA 3-1 Levski (CSKA home win)

5. Apr 2024 — Levski 0-2 CSKA (CSKA away win)

CSKA have won three of the last five, including both meetings in April 2024 and the most recent fixture in November. The only time Levski won was at home in October 2024. At CSKA's ground, the record is stark: one draw and two CSKA wins from the last three meetings there.

The 2-2 draw in March 2025 is the data point Levski fans will point to — proof that CSKA can be held. But that result came before the current five-game home clean sheet run. CSKA in April 2026 are a functionally different defensive unit than they were 13 months ago.

The Psychological Layer the Stats Can't Fully Capture

The Eternal Derby — CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia — carries emotional weight that no xG model accounts for. But what the numbers do show is that CSKA's current home form has survived big games before. Winning 11 in a row at home means you've already beaten every type of opponent motivation, including teams fighting for their lives.

Levski are in good form. But good form away at CSKA, in a Bulgarian derby, against a side that hasn't conceded at home in five games, is a completely different proposition.

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The Numbers That Matter Most

The architecture of this First League match analysis points in a consistent direction. CSKA Sofia at home, in this form, against these numbers, is as statistically fortified as any team in the division right now. Levski Sofia will have the ball. Whether they can do anything with it, against a defence that has conceded nothing on this ground for five straight matches, is the central question of 13 April.