Allsvenskan

Degerfors IF vs Brommapojkarna: Corners Tell the Real Story

Degerfors have drawn four of their last five. Brommapojkarna have won three. The corners data makes this Allsvenskan fixture far more interesting than form suggests.

31 May 2026Degerfors IF vs Brommapojkarna

Degerfors IF vs Brommapojkarna: Corners Tell the Real Story

Degerfors IF have produced 8 or more total corners in every single one of their last 10 home matches. Every one. That's not a trend — that's a structural feature of how they defend and press at home, and it's the most underappreciated number heading into this Allsvenskan fixture on 31 May 2026. Add Brommapojkarna's habit of generating 5+ corners in each of their last 3 away matches, and the corner market for Degerfors IF vs Brommapojkarna isn't just interesting — it's practically screaming.

But before we get into the geometry of set-pieces, there's a bigger narrative worth dismantling. Brommapojkarna are being talked up as a side in form. Three wins from five sounds convincing. The reality is messier, and the xG data exposes it.

For the full match statistics including lineups and live data, Statof has everything in one place.

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Brommapojkarna's Form Is Real — But Fragile

Three wins from five looks tidy on paper. The underlying numbers are less flattering. Brommapojkarna's xG average across their last five matches sits at just 1.2 per game — barely above Degerfors IF's 1.1. For a side winning games, that's a thin margin. They're converting chances slightly above expectation, which is sustainable right up until it isn't.

Break the five-game run down and the shape becomes clearer:

W 2-1 vs Djurgårdens IF — a scalp, but one goal margins are coin-flip territory

W 1-0 vs Kalmar FF — a clean sheet, but Kalmar are struggling

L 0-2 vs Elfsborg — outclassed

W 3-1 vs Halmstads BK — their most convincing result

L 1-2 vs Västerås SK — lost to a side they should be beating

Two wins against bottom-half opposition, one against a genuine Allsvenskan contender, and two losses. The narrative of Brommapojkarna as a team hitting form is built on selective framing. Their shots on target average of 4.2 is marginally below Degerfors IF's 4.6, which is the kind of detail that gets buried under headline results.

View the full Brommapojkarna stats & profile to see how their away record holds up over a longer sample.

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Degerfors IF's Draw Habit Is Not What It Looks Like

Four draws and one loss from Degerfors IF's last five matches. The lazy read is a team without a cutting edge, grinding out stalemates, too passive to win games. The data offers a different interpretation.

They're Competitive, Not Passive

Degerfors IF are averaging 13.4 shots per game across their last five — more than Brommapojkarna's 12.2. Their possession sits at 47.8%, which in context is not the figure of a side sitting deep and hanging on. They're engaging.

The problem is clinical. An xG of 1.1 per game with 4.6 shots on target means they're creating enough to win matches — they're just not finishing them. That 1-1 draw with BK Hacken, the 1-1 with Örgryte IS, the 1-1 with GAIS — in each case Degerfors scored, which means the defence isn't the primary issue. The attack is leaving points on the table.

The Home Factor Matters

Critically, this match is at Degerfors. Their home form deserves to be treated as a separate dataset from their recent away performances. A side averaging fewer than 1.5 goals per game but consistently finding the net in home fixtures — both teams have scored in Degerfors IF's last 3 home matches — is a different proposition at Stortorget than on the road.

Check the Degerfors IF stats & profile for the home/away split that changes how you read their recent results.

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The Corner Machine: Why Both Teams Manufacture Set-Pieces

This is where the Degerfors IF vs Brommapojkarna match gets genuinely compelling from a statistical standpoint.

Degerfors IF are averaging 3.4 corners per game — as a standalone figure, modest. But the 10-match home streak of 8+ total corners tells you that their opponents at home consistently generate corners against them. That's a defensive shape question. Degerfors press from the front but can be pinned back by direct play, conceding wide territory and forcing goalkeepers into punching clearances that loop out for corners.

Now bring in Brommapojkarna's away tendencies:

6.2 corners per game average across last five

5+ corners in each of their last 3 away matches

9+ total corners in their last 3 away matches

Brommapojkarna play a wide, direct style away from home. They use the flanks aggressively, which generates corner opportunities but also exposes them to transitions. That style, imported to a Degerfors home match, collides with a defensive structure that already concedes corners at an industrial rate.

The combined corner average from recent matches — 3.4 for Degerfors plus 6.2 for Brommapojkarna — suggests a baseline of roughly 9-10 total corners before you factor in the specific home/away dynamics. The 10-match streak of 8+ at Degerfors's ground is the anchor stat here, not the rolling averages.

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Head-to-Head: The Pattern Nobody Is Talking About

Five meetings between these sides and Degerfors IF lead 4-1. More specifically, Degerfors have won the last meeting — a 3-1 at Brommapojkarna in November 2025 — after losing the June 2025 fixture 0-3 at home. That June result looks like an anomaly against the broader head-to-head record rather than evidence of a shift in the balance of power.

The trajectory of the last two encounters is worth examining:

1. Jun 2025: Degerfors IF 0-3 Brommapojkarna — Brommapojkarna dominant

2. Nov 2025: Brommapojkarna 1-3 Degerfors IF — Degerfors respond emphatically

The 0-3 defeat triggered something. Degerfors went away to Brommapojkarna's ground and won by two goals just five months later. That's not a coincidence — it points to tactical adjustments and the kind of motivated performance that statistical models struggle to price in.

Brommapojkarna's away record in this specific fixture is now W1 L3 from the last four times they've played Degerfors away from home. The popular narrative of Brommapojkarna as a side in form collides with a head-to-head record that has consistently favoured the hosts in this Allsvenskan fixture.

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Fouls, Cards, and the Discipline Gap

One number from the averages table that deserves more attention: Degerfors IF commit 13.0 fouls per game. Brommapojkarna commit 9.6. That's a gap of 3.4 fouls per match — significant over 90 minutes.

High foul counts from Degerfors create two dynamics:

More free-kicks for Brommapojkarna in dangerous areas, increasing corner and set-piece opportunities

Degerfors players under yellow card pressure earlier, which affects their defensive intensity in the second half

Degerfors are averaging 1.8 yellow cards per game against Brommapojkarna's 1.6. The gap is small, but combined with the fouls differential, it suggests Degerfors's aggressive pressing style generates disciplinary risk. Against a Brommapojkarna side that tends to exploit transitions, that matters.

Brommapojkarna's 19.4 throw-ins per game — the highest figure in this dataset — reflects their wide, direct approach. Throw-ins in advanced areas create second-ball situations and indirect pressure that can force corners. It's not glamorous, but it's another route to the corner tally that makes the Over 8.5 Corners market look structurally supported.

For the complete tactical breakdown powered by machine learning, today's AI-powered analysis pulls from a much wider dataset than the last five matches alone.

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The Numbers That Matter Most

Degerfors IF have produced 8+ total corners in all 10 of their last home matches. This is the longest such home streak in the current Allsvenskan dataset and isn't reducible to one opponent's style — it's held across 10 different fixtures against varied opposition.

Brommapojkarna's xG of 1.2 per game is almost identical to Degerfors IF's 1.1, yet Brommapojkarna have won three of their last five and Degerfors have won zero. That finishing gap is real, but it's also the kind of gap that regresses sharply — often at the worst possible moment for the side overperforming.

Both teams have scored in Degerfors IF's last 3 home matches, and Brommapojkarna have scored in all 7 of their last away fixtures. The overlap of those two streaks at the same ground is the most statistically robust goal-scoring signal in this fixture.

Degerfors IF's 4-1 head-to-head advantage over Brommapojkarna across the last five meetings includes a dominant 3-1 away win at Brommapojkarna as recently as November 2025. The form narrative around Brommapojkarna doesn't account for how reliably this specific matchup has gone against them.

The combined corners average projects to roughly 9-10 total per match when you blend the rolling five-game figures with the home-specific streak data. Brommapojkarna's 9+ total corners in each of their last 3 away matches adds a further layer — they don't just participate in high-corner games on the road, they help generate them.

View Full Match Stats Today's Smart Analysis