Allsvenskan

Elfsborg vs BK Hacken: 24 Games Can't Be Wrong

Elfsborg haven't had a low-scoring home game in two years. BK Hacken arrive averaging 1.9 xG. Something has to give.

25 May 2026Elfsborg vs BK Hacken

The numbers tell an interesting story — and in this Allsvenskan fixture, two of them stand so far apart from the noise that ignoring them would be statistical malpractice.

Elfsborg have produced 2 or more total goals in each of their last 24 home matches. Not a hot streak. Not a run of form. Twenty-four consecutive home games spanning nearly two full seasons without a quiet afternoon at Borås Arena. Meanwhile, the last five meetings between Elfsborg vs BK Hacken have averaged 4.6 goals per game, with the head-to-head producing scorelines like 5-1, 3-5, and 1-3. These two teams, when they meet, do not do boring. The full match statistics heading into May 25 suggest this fixture deserves far more attention than it's getting.

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Elfsborg's 24-Game Home Goal Streak Is Historically Unusual

Let's be precise about what 24 consecutive home matches with 2+ goals actually means. In practical terms, Elfsborg haven't played a home game that finished 1-0 or 0-0 since before December 2024. That covers league games, high-pressure fixtures, bad-weather slogs — all of it.

This isn't a quirk of attacking quality alone. Elfsborg's defensive record at home matters here. A team can sustain a streak like this two ways: score heavily themselves, or play in an open style that invites goals at both ends. Elfsborg appear to do both.

Their recent form shows 1.1 xG per game across the last five matches — not exactly clinical. But look at the actual results: a 2-0 win, three 1-1 draws, and one loss. Even in games where they've underperformed their xG, goals have still arrived. The Borås Arena environment seems to produce a specific kind of football — competitive, direct, never sterile.

For context, their last five home results produced goals in every single match, and none finished goalless. The over 1.5 goals market here isn't a stretch — it's backed by nearly two years of consistent evidence.

What's Driving the Streak?

Elfsborg average 52.4% possession — enough to control games without sitting deep

11.2 shots per game — active, not passive

3.6 shots on target — conversion is modest, but volume creates pressure

Their opponents at home tend to come forward, because sitting back invites sustained pressure

The result is a structural openness to their home games that persists regardless of who walks into Borås.

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BK Hacken's xG Numbers Are the Highest in This Fixture

If Elfsborg provide the environment, BK Hacken provide the fuel. Check the BK Hacken stats & profile and one number jumps immediately: 1.9 xG per game across their last five matches. That's the highest of any team involved in this fixture by a significant margin.

Hacken haven't been dominant in results — two wins, two draws, and one draw in their last five — but their underlying numbers are strong. 14.8 shots per game and 4.6 shots on target suggest a team creating genuine chances rather than speculative long-range efforts.

The contrast with Elfsborg is sharp:

| Metric | Elfsborg | BK Hacken |

|---|---|---|

| Shots per game | 11.2 | 14.8 |

| Shots on target | 3.6 | 4.6 |

| xG per game | 1.1 | 1.9 |

| Possession % | 52.4 | 52.0 |

Both teams average almost identical possession — which means neither is going to sit in a low block. This is a midfield contest between two sides that both want the ball, and that structural tension tends to produce transitions, space, and goals.

Hacken's away form reinforces this. They are unbeaten in their last four away matches, collecting wins at Mjällby and Malmö before drawing at Degerfors and Sirius. The 3-3 draw at Västerås shows they can be porous, but also that they don't stop pushing forward even when the scoreline demands caution.

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The Head-to-Head Is a Fever Dream of Attacking Football

Five meetings. 23 total goals. An average of 4.6 per game. The Elfsborg vs BK Hacken head-to-head record is one of the more remarkable recent series in Allsvenskan.

Look at the full sequence:

1. BK Hacken 3-5 Elfsborg — July 2024

2. Elfsborg 1-3 BK Hacken — October 2024

3. Elfsborg 5-1 BK Hacken — December 2024

4. Elfsborg 0-2 BK Hacken — July 2025

5. BK Hacken 1-2 Elfsborg — August 2025

Only one of those five produced fewer than three goals. The outlier — the 0-2 in July 2025 — is the single instance where the game stayed tight, and even then Hacken scored twice without reply.

The last three meetings have seen 9 or more total corners, which is a separate data point worth tracking. 5.6 corners per game for Hacken away and 4.8 for Elfsborg at home means a combined average of 10.4 corners in this specific matchup context — and the actual H2H data backs that up rather than contradicting it.

Why This Fixture Produces Corners

Both teams push width. Hacken's attacking patterns tend toward the flanks, forcing defensive clearances into corner positions. Elfsborg's home setup invites pressure from opponents, generating defensive corners at the other end. The geometry of how these two teams play simply produces dead balls in the corner arc.

Three straight H2H meetings with 9+ corners isn't noise. It's a pattern with a structural explanation.

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Elfsborg's Form Conceals a Defensive Fragility

Elfsborg are unbeaten in their last five home matches — that's the headline. But unbeaten doesn't mean dominant, and the Elfsborg stats & profile reveal a team that's winning or drawing, not suffocating opponents.

Three of their last five results across all competitions are 1-1 draws. They drew 1-1 with Mjällby, 1-1 with Halmstads, and 1-1 with AIK. The one win was a 2-0 against Brommapojkarna — a side significantly below Hacken's quality level. The one loss was a 1-2 defeat to Kalmar.

What this form sequence tells you:

Elfsborg are conceding regularly — they've shipped goals in four of their last five matches

Their 1.1 xG average suggests they're not overwhelming opponents

They retain the ball (52.4% possession) but aren't always converting that into genuine threat

None of this breaks the home unbeaten streak — but it does suggest that streak is built on defensive resilience and home advantage rather than attacking dominance. Against a Hacken side averaging 1.9 xG, that defensive fragility becomes significant.

Fouls and Discipline: A Small Red Flag

Elfsborg average 9.0 fouls per game. Hacken average 11.8. Neither is extreme, but Hacken's foul count — the highest in this fixture — combined with 1.8 yellow cards per game suggests a team that plays on the edge physically, especially away from home where frustration tends to compound.

For a match that already trends toward open, high-tempo football, the foul count adds an additional disruptive layer. Set pieces, free kicks around the box, and the physical toll of repeated fouls on both sides tend to open games up further rather than close them down.

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The Numbers That Matter Most

24 consecutive home games with 2+ total goals for Elfsborg is not a hot streak — it's a structural feature of how they play at Borås Arena, covering nearly two full seasons and multiple different opponents. This is the most durable statistical trend in this fixture.

BK Hacken's 1.9 xG per game is significantly higher than Elfsborg's 1.1, creating an asymmetry that the head-to-head results have consistently punished — yet Elfsborg's home record means they find ways to score regardless of underlying numbers.

The last three H2H meetings have all produced 9+ corners, and with both teams averaging over 5 corners per game in relevant recent form, the combined corner expectation for this fixture sits well above the league norm.

Elfsborg have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, including against sides of lesser quality than Hacken. The unbeaten home run is real, but it co-exists with a team that gives up goals.

BK Hacken are unbeaten in 4 away matches — but three of those were draws, including a 3-3 at Västerås and a 2-2 at Sirius. Their away form is resilient rather than dominant, which fits a road team that creates chances (1.9 xG) but also concedes them.

For a deeper look at how these trends were identified and quantified, the today's AI-powered analysis breaks down the underlying models behind each statistical trend detected in this Allsvenskan match.

Elfsborg vs BK Hacken on May 25 arrives with two years of home-game evidence pointing in one direction and a head-to-head series that reads like a fever dream. The data doesn't always cooperate with narrative — but here, the narrative and the data are saying the same thing.

View Full Match Stats Today's Smart Analysis