Frosinone vs Palermo: 13 Wins in 16 Home Games Tell the Story
Frosinone are averaging 21 shots per game at home. Palermo are averaging 4 on target. The numbers aren't kind to the visitors.
Frosinone vs Palermo: 13 Wins in 16 Home Games Tell the Story
Frosinone are generating 1.9 xG per game across their last five matches while Palermo's attack is producing just 1.5 — but the gap feels wider than that. When you dig into the shot quality, the on-target numbers, and the sheer territorial dominance Frosinone have been exercising at home, this Serie B match analysis writes itself. Palermo arrive in Lazio on 10 April 2026 having lost 0-3 to Monza just two games ago. Frosinone arrive having won four of their last five, including a 3-0 dismantling of Sampdoria. The trajectories could not be more different. Check out the full match statistics if you want every number laid bare before kickoff.
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Frosinone's Relentless Upward Curve
Five matches ago, Frosinone were already winning. The difference now is *how* they're winning — and the margins involved.
Their last five results: W 2-0, W 3-1, W 2-1, D 2-2, W 3-0. That's 13 goals scored in five games, with the solitary dropped points coming in a 2-2 draw at Cesena that barely dented the momentum. The sequence reads not as inconsistency but as a team in full flow, occasionally generous in defence.
The Home Fortress Factor
The home record is where the story sharpens. Frosinone are unbeaten in their last five home matches, winning three consecutively. Across the last 16 home fixtures, they have had four or more corners in every single one. That's not a coincidence — it's a reflection of how they impose themselves territorially.
The xG of 1.9 per game is solid, but the shot volume suggests they are leaving expected goals on the table. That's an argument for regression upward in output, not downward. A team generating 21 shots per game tends to get what it deserves eventually.
See the Frosinone stats & profile for the deeper historical context on their home dominance.
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Palermo's Turbulent Five-Game Slide Into Form
Palermo's last five reads: W, W, D, L 0-3, W. The Monza result sits in the middle of that sequence like a bruise — heavy, impossible to ignore, and only partially covered by the 1-0 win over Carrarese that followed.
To their credit, Palermo have won three of five. On paper, that looks reasonable. In practice, the manner of those wins raises questions about ceiling.
When the Wheels Came Off Against Monza
A 0-3 loss doesn't happen to teams playing well. It happens when defensive structure breaks down and the attack offers nothing in response. Palermo's averages over these five games reflect a side that is functional rather than fluent:
The 1-0 wins over Calcio Padova and Carrarese were competent, professional results. They were also against sides in the bottom half. The 2-2 draw with Juve Stabia — a team with its own form issues — suggested Palermo still struggle to control games they're expected to dominate.
The full picture on Palermo stats & profile gives you the broader seasonal context that these five games only hint at.
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Head-to-Head: A Rivalry Where Goals Are Scarce
The last five meetings between these two clubs tell a story of tight margins and low scoring. Three of the five meetings have ended as draws or 1-0 results. Goals have rarely flowed when these sides meet.
The Recent H2H Record
1. Palermo 0-0 Frosinone — August 2025
2. Palermo 2-0 Frosinone — May 2025
3. Frosinone 1-1 Palermo — November 2024
4. Palermo 1-1 Frosinone — February 2023
5. Frosinone 1-0 Palermo — September 2022
Palermo have won the most recent home fixture convincingly — 2-0 in May 2025 — but Frosinone took the November 2024 meeting and the 2022 clash. The balance over five games sits almost level, with Palermo holding a slight edge on raw results.
Crucially, none of these meetings have been high-scoring affairs. The head-to-head average is well under two goals per game. That historical tightness is worth factoring in when considering what the current form divergence actually means in a fixture where both sides seem to press the handbrake against each other.
What makes this meeting different is context. Frosinone are hosting, they're in better form, and they're the side averaging over 21 shots per game. That's a different Frosinone to the one that drew 0-0 in August.
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The Corner Dominance Stat That Keeps Growing
This is the trend that most deserves attention in any Serie B match analysis of this fixture.
Frosinone have recorded four or more corners in 16 consecutive home matches. That is not normal. That is a structural feature of how they play — aggressive wide play, balls into the box, pressure that forces opponents to concede territory in the final third.
More significantly: eight or more total corners in their last nine home matches. Over nine games, with different opposition, different stakes, different conditions — the corner count keeps landing above eight.
What Drives the Corner Volume
Frosinone's 7.4 corners per game average across the last five matches dwarfs Palermo's 5.4. When you combine Frosinone's attacking corner generation with Palermo's own decent corner rate, the total count almost always ends up in double figures at the Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Palermo's defensive shape, which concedes territory easily (evidenced by the Monza loss), is likely to compound this. A side that struggles to maintain a defensive line under pressure tends to surrender corners at a higher rate away from home. Against Frosinone's wide-oriented attack, that's a combination worth tracking through the today's AI-powered analysis.
The throw-in numbers add a quiet data point here. Palermo average 21.2 throw-ins per game — nearly four more than Frosinone's 17.3. More throw-ins generally indicate a team defending deeper and wider, pressing less, and ceding territorial advantage. It's a soft metric, but it aligns perfectly with everything else in Palermo's numbers.
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Discipline, Pressure, and the Foul Count
Both sides average 2.4 yellow cards per game — identical, and higher than you'd want if you're a manager worried about suspensions. But the foul counts tell slightly different stories.
Frosinone commit 15.2 fouls per game. Palermo commit 12.4. Frosinone foul more, but they also press more — their higher possession and shot numbers explain the aggression in transition. Teams that press high foul more. It's cause and effect.
Palermo's lower foul count might suggest discipline. It more likely reflects a reactive shape that doesn't require as many recovery fouls because they're already sitting deeper. That's not a compliment.
With both teams on 2.4 yellows per game, this fixture carries a moderate card risk — something to keep in mind if Palermo's back line comes under the kind of sustained pressure Frosinone have been applying all season at home.
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