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Serie B

Frosinone vs Palermo: 13 Wins in 16 Home Games Tell the Story

Frosinone are averaging 21 shots per game at home. Palermo are averaging 4 on target. The numbers aren't kind to the visitors.

10 April 2026Frosinone vs Palermo

Frosinone vs Palermo: 13 Wins in 16 Home Games Tell the Story

Frosinone are generating 1.9 xG per game across their last five matches while Palermo's attack is producing just 1.5 — but the gap feels wider than that. When you dig into the shot quality, the on-target numbers, and the sheer territorial dominance Frosinone have been exercising at home, this Serie B match analysis writes itself. Palermo arrive in Lazio on 10 April 2026 having lost 0-3 to Monza just two games ago. Frosinone arrive having won four of their last five, including a 3-0 dismantling of Sampdoria. The trajectories could not be more different. Check out the full match statistics if you want every number laid bare before kickoff.

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Frosinone's Relentless Upward Curve

Five matches ago, Frosinone were already winning. The difference now is *how* they're winning — and the margins involved.

Their last five results: W 2-0, W 3-1, W 2-1, D 2-2, W 3-0. That's 13 goals scored in five games, with the solitary dropped points coming in a 2-2 draw at Cesena that barely dented the momentum. The sequence reads not as inconsistency but as a team in full flow, occasionally generous in defence.

The Home Fortress Factor

The home record is where the story sharpens. Frosinone are unbeaten in their last five home matches, winning three consecutively. Across the last 16 home fixtures, they have had four or more corners in every single one. That's not a coincidence — it's a reflection of how they impose themselves territorially.

  • 21.2 shots per game — one of the highest averages in the division over this period
  • 8.0 shots on target per game — nearly double Palermo's equivalent figure
  • 53.2% average possession — comfortable control without being passive
  • 7.4 corners per game — relentless set-piece pressure that compounds over 90 minutes
  • The xG of 1.9 per game is solid, but the shot volume suggests they are leaving expected goals on the table. That's an argument for regression upward in output, not downward. A team generating 21 shots per game tends to get what it deserves eventually.

    See the Frosinone stats & profile for the deeper historical context on their home dominance.

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    Palermo's Turbulent Five-Game Slide Into Form

    Palermo's last five reads: W, W, D, L 0-3, W. The Monza result sits in the middle of that sequence like a bruise — heavy, impossible to ignore, and only partially covered by the 1-0 win over Carrarese that followed.

    To their credit, Palermo have won three of five. On paper, that looks reasonable. In practice, the manner of those wins raises questions about ceiling.

    When the Wheels Came Off Against Monza

    A 0-3 loss doesn't happen to teams playing well. It happens when defensive structure breaks down and the attack offers nothing in response. Palermo's averages over these five games reflect a side that is functional rather than fluent:

  • 14.8 shots per game — over six fewer than Frosinone
  • 4.0 shots on target per game — the number that matters most, and it's concerning
  • 48.2% possession — slightly passive, reactive in shape
  • 1.5 xG per game — generating less than they need to be comfortable in most games
  • The 1-0 wins over Calcio Padova and Carrarese were competent, professional results. They were also against sides in the bottom half. The 2-2 draw with Juve Stabia — a team with its own form issues — suggested Palermo still struggle to control games they're expected to dominate.

    The full picture on Palermo stats & profile gives you the broader seasonal context that these five games only hint at.

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    Head-to-Head: A Rivalry Where Goals Are Scarce

    The last five meetings between these two clubs tell a story of tight margins and low scoring. Three of the five meetings have ended as draws or 1-0 results. Goals have rarely flowed when these sides meet.

    The Recent H2H Record

    1. Palermo 0-0 Frosinone — August 2025

    2. Palermo 2-0 Frosinone — May 2025

    3. Frosinone 1-1 Palermo — November 2024

    4. Palermo 1-1 Frosinone — February 2023

    5. Frosinone 1-0 Palermo — September 2022

    Palermo have won the most recent home fixture convincingly — 2-0 in May 2025 — but Frosinone took the November 2024 meeting and the 2022 clash. The balance over five games sits almost level, with Palermo holding a slight edge on raw results.

    Crucially, none of these meetings have been high-scoring affairs. The head-to-head average is well under two goals per game. That historical tightness is worth factoring in when considering what the current form divergence actually means in a fixture where both sides seem to press the handbrake against each other.

    What makes this meeting different is context. Frosinone are hosting, they're in better form, and they're the side averaging over 21 shots per game. That's a different Frosinone to the one that drew 0-0 in August.

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    The Corner Dominance Stat That Keeps Growing

    This is the trend that most deserves attention in any Serie B match analysis of this fixture.

    Frosinone have recorded four or more corners in 16 consecutive home matches. That is not normal. That is a structural feature of how they play — aggressive wide play, balls into the box, pressure that forces opponents to concede territory in the final third.

    More significantly: eight or more total corners in their last nine home matches. Over nine games, with different opposition, different stakes, different conditions — the corner count keeps landing above eight.

    What Drives the Corner Volume

    Frosinone's 7.4 corners per game average across the last five matches dwarfs Palermo's 5.4. When you combine Frosinone's attacking corner generation with Palermo's own decent corner rate, the total count almost always ends up in double figures at the Stadio Benito Stirpe.

    Palermo's defensive shape, which concedes territory easily (evidenced by the Monza loss), is likely to compound this. A side that struggles to maintain a defensive line under pressure tends to surrender corners at a higher rate away from home. Against Frosinone's wide-oriented attack, that's a combination worth tracking through the today's AI-powered analysis.

    The throw-in numbers add a quiet data point here. Palermo average 21.2 throw-ins per game — nearly four more than Frosinone's 17.3. More throw-ins generally indicate a team defending deeper and wider, pressing less, and ceding territorial advantage. It's a soft metric, but it aligns perfectly with everything else in Palermo's numbers.

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    Discipline, Pressure, and the Foul Count

    Both sides average 2.4 yellow cards per game — identical, and higher than you'd want if you're a manager worried about suspensions. But the foul counts tell slightly different stories.

    Frosinone commit 15.2 fouls per game. Palermo commit 12.4. Frosinone foul more, but they also press more — their higher possession and shot numbers explain the aggression in transition. Teams that press high foul more. It's cause and effect.

    Palermo's lower foul count might suggest discipline. It more likely reflects a reactive shape that doesn't require as many recovery fouls because they're already sitting deeper. That's not a compliment.

    With both teams on 2.4 yellows per game, this fixture carries a moderate card risk — something to keep in mind if Palermo's back line comes under the kind of sustained pressure Frosinone have been applying all season at home.

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    The Numbers That Matter Most

  • Frosinone's shots on target average (8.0) is exactly double Palermo's (4.0). Over 90 minutes, that's not a gap you close with one good spell — it's a structural difference in how these teams attack.
  • Palermo have won only one of their last three away fixtures, and their only clean sheet in that run came against Carrarese. Frosinone are a significant step up from that level of opposition.
  • The 16-match streak of 4+ Frosinone home corners has now survived opponents at every point of the Serie B table. It is the most durable statistical trend in this fixture, and Palermo's deep defensive setup is more likely to extend it than end it.
  • Palermo's xG of 1.5 per game is functional for a mid-table side but insufficient against a home team generating 1.9. The gap is small in raw numbers but meaningful when combined with Palermo's shots-on-target problem — you can't score what you don't put on frame.
  • The head-to-head has produced exactly two goals or fewer in four of the last five meetings. If Frosinone's form holds and Palermo defend compactly as they tend to away from home, the game could follow that familiar low-scoring pattern — but with the hosts as clear dominant force for the first time in recent memory.