Friendlies

Trin and Tobago vs Gabon: One Team Rising, One in Freefall

Gabon haven't won in 5 straight. Trin and Tobago are unbeaten in 8 at home. The data tells a brutal story.

30 March 2026Trin and Tobago vs Gabon

Trin and Tobago vs Gabon: One Team Rising, One in Freefall

Gabon have not won a single match in their last five outings. Not once. Meanwhile, Trin and Tobago head into this March 30 Friendlies fixture on an eight-match unbeaten home run, averaging 2.0 xG per game with a shot volume — 16.4 per match — that belongs to a team with genuine attacking intent. The gap in momentum between these two sides is not subtle. In Trin and Tobago vs Gabon, one team arrives with confidence built on real statistical substance. The other arrives running on fumes. Check the full match statistics and the divergence becomes impossible to ignore.

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Gabon's Collapse: From Competitive to Cannon Fodder

Five matches ago, Gabon were losing 1-3 to Uzbekistan. That result, brutal as it sounds, was arguably their best performance of the sequence. At least they scored.

The trajectory since then has been grim:

L 1-3 vs Uzbekistan — conceded three, managed one

L 2-3 vs Ivory Coast — fought back but couldn't hold

L 2-3 vs Mozambique — the same story, different opponent

L 0-1 vs Cameroon — couldn't score at all

D 1-1 vs Nigeria — finally stopped the bleeding, barely

That final draw against Nigeria looks like a lifeline on paper. In context, it's a team that needed a draw against a major African side to avoid a sixth straight defeat. That is not a form turnaround. That is a team clinging to the wreckage.

The Numbers Behind the Decline

Gabon's underlying data confirms what the results scream. Their xG average of just 1.4 over the last five games is the number of a side that isn't creating — it's the output of a team going through the motions in the final third.

10.0 shots per match. For context, Trin and Tobago average 16.4. That is a 64% gap in shot volume between the two sides walking into this game. Gabon are also averaging just 4.4 shots on target per game, meaning fewer than half their attempts trouble the keeper. Possession sits at 47.6% — they don't control games, they react to them.

Yellow cards are climbing too: 1.4 per match, the highest of the two sides, suggesting a team under pressure, chasing games, and losing discipline in the process. For Gabon's full stats and profile, the picture is consistent — this is a side in structural difficulty, not a temporary blip.

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Trin and Tobago's Quiet Momentum: Efficiency Over Excitement

Trin and Tobago's last five matches tell a different kind of story. Not a barnstorming, end-to-end thriller narrative — something more measured and, frankly, more reliable.

L 0-3 vs Bolivia — the low point, now five matches back

D 2-2 vs Bermuda — goals both ways, shaky defensively

D 1-1 vs Jamaica — competitive, controlled

D 1-1 vs Curaçao — same pattern, same discipline

W 3-0 vs Bermuda — the sharp end of an upward curve

That final win is significant. 3-0, clean sheet, and it capped a sequence where Trin and Tobago went from being hammered to dominant in the space of five games. The direction of travel is unambiguous.

Building From the Back, Pushing From the Front

The stat that stands out most for Trin and Tobago isn't the goals. It's the 54% average possession. They are not a team that sits back and absorbs. They control. They push.

16.4 shots per game backs that up. 6.0 on target means a respectable conversion rate from attempt to meaningful effort. The 6.8 corner average is also telling — corners are a byproduct of pressure, of teams pushing into the box repeatedly. Trin and Tobago are manufacturing that pressure consistently.

Yellow cards? Just 0.6 per game. They are disciplined, controlled, and operating at a technical level that their recent results increasingly reflect. Explore the Trin and Tobago stats and profile and the numbers paint a side finding its rhythm at exactly the right time.

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The Home Fortress: Eight Matches, Zero Defeats

The single most powerful data point in this entire fixture sits with Trin and Tobago's home record. Eight matches unbeaten on home soil. In international football — where squads rotate, schedules scatter players across continents, and motivation fluctuates wildly — an eight-game unbeaten home run is not noise. It is signal.

This is not a streak built against weak opposition in a vacuum. It is a consistent pattern of results that tells you Trin and Tobago, when playing at home, do not lose. The confidence that builds from that kind of record is tangible. Opposition teams feel it.

What Gabon Are Walking Into

Gabon, travelling as the away side, are heading into a home fortress on the back of four straight defeats. That psychological gap — between a team that hasn't lost at home in eight and a team that hasn't won anywhere in five — is the backdrop to everything else.

Gabon's away form adds another layer. The AI-detected trends flag that Gabon have produced 7+ total corners in each of their last 8 away matches. That's a streak that points to a specific pattern: Gabon, when away from home, tend to find themselves in defensive situations that generate attacking corner pressure on their goal — or they push forward desperately and earn corners at the other end. Either way, this is a high-corner game waiting to happen.

Trin and Tobago have produced 3+ corners in all five of their recent home fixtures. Gabon have produced 4+ in each of their last five away games. Both streaks converging in one match makes the corner market one of the most statistically supported angles in this Friendlies fixture.

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What the Stats Say About How This Game Gets Played

Look beyond the results and the statistical profiles reveal two teams with very different identities — and those identities are about to collide in predictable ways.

Trin and Tobago: The Dominant Profile

54.0% possession average — they dictate

16.4 shots per game — they attack with volume

6.8 corners per game — they live in the opposition half

1.3 offsides per game — disciplined in their runs, not just hoofing balls forward

0.6 yellow cards per game — calm under pressure

Gabon: The Reactive Profile

47.6% possession — they cede control

10.0 shots per game — they struggle to create

4.8 corners — less territorial dominance

1.4 yellow cards — losing their composure

xG of 1.4 — not manufacturing genuine chances

The Foul Count Problem

Gabon's 11.3 fouls per game is the highest average in this fixture. When a team is fouling that frequently, it usually means one of two things: they are physically aggressive by design, or they are being bypassed and resorting to cynical stops. Given their drop in possession and shot volume, the latter is more likely.

Trin and Tobago average 10.5 fouls per game — almost identical, suggesting the physical tempo of this game will be competitive. But the difference is context: Trin and Tobago foul while controlling games. Gabon foul while chasing them.

For a broader look at how these patterns fit into the wider international fixture landscape, today's AI-powered analysis breaks down the data-driven signals across all major matches.

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The Numbers That Matter Most

Gabon's xG of 1.4 vs Trin and Tobago's 2.0 is not just a number gap — it's the difference between a team that creates half-chances and a team that creates real ones. Trin and Tobago generate 43% more expected goals per game than their opponents in this fixture.

Trin and Tobago's 8-match unbeaten home streak is the standout form line in this Friendlies match analysis. Gabon, by contrast, have gone the last five matches without a single win, making this the sharpest momentum divergence you'll find in international football this window.

16.4 shots per game for Trin and Tobago versus 10.0 for Gabon means that even if Gabon defend deep, the sheer volume of attempts from the home side creates a sustained, compounding pressure that historically breaks teams in the second half.

The 7+ corners in 8 straight Gabon away matches streak is the kind of consistent pattern that doesn't maintain itself without structural cause. Combined with Trin and Tobago's own corner output of 6.8 per game at home, the total corner environment in this match sits well above average for a Friendlies fixture.

Gabon's yellow card average of 1.4 — more than double Trin and Tobago's 0.6 — suggests a team that struggles to stay composed when the game runs away from them. In a fixture where the home side controls possession and generates consistent pressure, that discipline gap could cost Gabon significantly as the match wears on.

View Full Match Stats Today's Smart Analysis